Compute the probability of a simple event as the number of favorable outcomes divided by the total number of equally likely outcomes.
Probability measures how likely an event is, as a number from 0 (impossible) to 1 (certain). For equally likely outcomes, probability of an event = (number of favorable outcomes) / (total number of outcomes). It can be written as a fraction, a decimal, or a percent.
The complement of an event is everything that is NOT that event, and it always has probability 1 minus the event's probability, since together an event and its complement must cover every possible outcome.
Mastery looks like: They correctly compute the probability of a simple event and its complement, expressing it in fraction, decimal, or percent form.
Common stumbles: Dividing total outcomes by favorable outcomes instead of the reverse; forgetting that a probability can never be negative or greater than 1.
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